Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000091 0.000096 0.000101 0.000106 0.000112 0.000119
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000088 0.000094 0.000102 0.000111 0.000121 0.000134
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000083 0.000091 0.000101 0.000113 0.000127 0.000144
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000079 0.000088 0.000100 0.000114 0.000131 0.000153
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000077 0.000087 0.000100 0.000117 0.000137 0.000165
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000076 0.000087 0.000102 0.000120 0.000145 0.000180
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000073 0.000084 0.000100 0.000120 0.000147 0.000187
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000070 0.000081 0.000097 0.000118 0.000146 0.000189
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000067 0.000079 0.000095 0.000116 0.000146 0.000194
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000064 0.000075 0.000091 0.000113 0.000143 0.000192
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000075 0.000091 0.000115 0.000148 0.000204
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000075 0.000093 0.000118 0.000155 0.000219
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000061 0.000073 0.000092 0.000118 0.000158 0.000228
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000060 0.000074 0.000093 0.000122 0.000166 0.000249
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000092 0.000122 0.000169 0.000260
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000071 0.000091 0.000122 0.000171 0.000270
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000091 0.000124 0.000177 0.000288
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000056 0.000071 0.000092 0.000127 0.000186 0.000314
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000055 0.000069 0.000091 0.000126 0.000187 0.000322
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000067 0.000088 0.000123 0.000184 0.000321
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000086 0.000121 0.000183 0.000325
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063 0.000083 0.000117 0.000177 0.000316
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000049 0.000063 0.000084 0.000119 0.000183 0.000338